Monday, March 30, 2009
Flooding in Whitstable in 1953
This is the headline from the Booker's column in the Telegraph on Sunday, covering the findings of Swedish geologist and physicist Dr Nils-Axel Mörner, formerly chairman of the INQUA International Commission on Sea Level Change, with 35 years experience studying global sea levels, that rising sea levels is a myth.
Despite all the hype:
* The UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) only predicts a sea level rise of 59cm (17 inches) by 2100.
* According to Dr Mörner, "The sea is not rising," he says. "It hasn't risen in 50 years." If there is any rise this century it will "not be more than 10cm (four inches), with an uncertainty of plus or minus 10cm".
* Studies of the Maldives confirm that the sea has not risen for half a century.
* Similarly in Tuvalu the sea has dropped in recent decades.
* Venice has been sinking rather than the Adriatic rising.
And the source of all these dire predictions on which so much panic and public spend is based upon? Flawed computer models rather than actual measurements. Until 2003, the IPCC's own satellite-based evidence showed no upward trend. Suddenly the graph tilted upwards because the IPCC's favoured experts had drawn on the finding of a *single tide-gauge* in Hong Kong harbour showing a 2.3mm rise. The entire global sea-level projection was then adjusted upwards by a "corrective factor" of 2.3mm, because, as the IPCC scientists admitted, they "needed to show a trend".
Disgraceful. What we need is another Without the Hot Air for Climate Change predictions, i.e. honest factual analysis without all the waffle and self-interest. For more information about Dr Mörner, read his report "Claim that sea level is rising is a total fraud" here, or look him up on Youtube.
Posted by Sam Crawley at 1:25 pm